I do not intend to discuss or critique the recent events in Afghanistan other than to say that it is clearly not the highpoint of America’s foreign policy which at this instant is entrusted to our current POTUS.
When the current POTUS was running for the job, we were assured that one of the mitigating factors of his half a century in the swamp was that he was an old and steady hand when it came to foreign policy — hmmm, maybe not so much, eh?
A single discordant voice was former Sec Def/Dir CIA Gates who opined that Joe Biden had been on the wrong side of every major foreign policy issue for the last four decades.
Today, President Biden takes great pride in the killing of Osama Bin Laden, a mission he opposed at the time.
So what, Big Red Car?
What I do want to discuss is that others — meaning rival nations such as China, Russia, North Korea, Iran — carefully assess our foreign policy to see how it might apply to them at some future date.
In this instance, I would like to focus on China, who I think is a gargantuan mischief maker and truly evil country — the government, the Chinese Communist Party, not the people who are their victims — that is progressively becoming more and more controlled by a single person, President for Life Xi Jinping.
1. President of the People’s Republic of China
2. General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China
3. Chairman of the Central Military Commission
4. Leader of the Central Leading Group for Foreign Affairs
5. Leader of the Central Leading Group for Taiwan Affairs
6. Leader of the Central Leading Group for Comprehensively Deepening Reforms
7. Chairman of the Central National Security Commission
8. Leader of the Central Leading Group for Internet Security and Informatisation
9. Leader of the Central Leading Group for National Defence and Military Reform of the Central Military Commission
10. Leader of the Central Leading Group for Financial and Economic Affairs
11. Commander-in-Chief of the Joint Battle Command of the People’s Liberation Army
12. Chairman of the Central Commission for Integrated Military and Civilian Development
13. President Emeritus of the Beijing Rotary Club
14. A scratch golfer, and a world class chess player
If this were the United States, Xi Jinping would be the President of the country, head of government, the head of his political party, Secretary of Defense, Secretary of the Treasury, Commerce Secretary, Director of the CIA/NSA/MIA/DIA, and a few other obscure jobs.
Xi now has more power than Mao ever had and rules over a country that has an enormous appetite for hegemony because he, as their leader, has made that the policy of China.
Not only has he consolidated massive power, but he has effectively eliminated all of his real or imagined competitors by charging them with corruption which is how he became “President For Life.”
Where is this going, Big Red Car?
OK, here is where it is going, dear readers.
Today, China critiqued the hasty US retreat from Afghanistan by warning Taiwan — which they delusionally consider part of China — that the US cannot be counted upon when it comes to being a military ally.
[It is also fair to say that the US Navy has a much bigger challenge with shore based hypersonic missiles. The standoff distance from China is likely more than 1,000 nautical miles.]
This message — which is based on US performance in Vietnam, with the Kurds, and in Afghanistan — took less than a full day to blossom forth.
This is the result of weak foreign policy, huge ramifications for other hot spots in an increasingly troubled world.
The current environment in Southeast Asia is that countries have assiduously failed/refused to pick a side — China v USA — to champion, wanting instead to avoid being drawn into conflict.
China is using the Afghanistan debacle as a talking point to mock American assurances of stability and capabilities.
The messaging that is coming from multiple sources goes like this:
“These countries (meaning Southeast Asian countries, but, particularly Taiwan) have experienced the Vietnam War, and they should have a deep understanding about the unreliability of the United States. Afghanistan has now offered them a new lesson.”
A worthy newspaper in the region said it thusly:
The chaos in Afghanistan is “a lesson that Taiwan needs to learn.”
“The shock of the US abandonment of the Kabul regime has been felt more strongly in some parts of Asia, particularly in Taiwan,” the Global Times said in an editorial on Monday. “Taiwan is undoubtedly the Asian region that relies most heavily on the US for protection.”
Bottom line it, Big Red Car
We are substantially closer to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan today than we were a month ago and it is because China sees us as weak and poorly led.
Sorry, but that is the truth.
But, hey, what the Hell do I really know anyway? I’m just a Big Red Car.