01/12/23

Success? You Want Success? — THERE WILL BE A PRICE

I have two conversations wrestling in my head.

Convo #1 – a young man, an impressive, guileful young man full of potential who said something close to: “I am looking for something to do for six months or so that I can immerse myself in and make a lot of money.”

Convo #2 – a salty, seasoned, scarred, wise septuagenarian who said: “It takes about ten years to become an overnight success and there is always a price.”

This got me thinking about some things which in no particular order I share with you, dear readers.

The Nature of Success Continue reading

01/1/23

Predictions 2022 Scorecard

Before I publish my 2023 predictions, let’s put a red pen to how the Big Red Car did in 2022, shall we?

Economy

The economy, in general, will be a mixed bag filled with dangerous sharp-edged objects that will require careful and cautious handling. CORRECT

 1. GDP growth will be consistently lower than 2% for the entire year. The post-Pandemic Dead Cat Bounce is over. CORRECT

We will print two quarters at ZERO growth and it will feel like we have an ulcer, a bleeding ulcer, but tech will continue to roll up impressive gains. CORRECT/WRONG

Be long QQQ or TQQQ <<< no, Hell no, don’t take investment advice from a bloody car. You’re smarter than that. WRONG Continue reading

11/6/22

The Military Science of Ukraine v Russia War

As a proud graduate of Virginia Military Institute I spent a few classes in something called “Military Science” wherein we learned all sorts of things that would be irrelevant to civilians, but useful for professional soldiers.

After four years of schooling, we were all sent out to the Army to learn the same lessons in the field.

Virginia Military Institute - Wikipedia

Continue reading

10/6/22

Black Gold, Putler, And The Dark Prince

This week OPEC+ at its 33rd OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting held in Vienna agreed to decrease crude oil production by 2,000,000 barrels a day which will have obvious implications — bad implications — for the rising price of oil, increasing inflation, and the global economy.

Taking 2,000,000 bbl/day out of the pipeline will:

 1. Dramatically increase oil prices to the $125 – 150/bbl range.

 2. Add another jolt to inflation worldwide, but in particular in the United States.

 3. Enrich Putler’s war machine. Continue reading

03/29/22

The Moscow Exchange Head Fake

Russia got caught off guard by the severity of the western economic sanctions imposed in response to their unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

Foreign Minister Lavrov (in place as Foreign Minister for 14 years and a member of the permanent mission to the UN before that for 10 years) said as much this week, a very surprising admission by the Empire Builders.

Putin and his puffer coat crowd thought they were pretty clever hiding lots of foreign currency reserves overseas — there is really no place to hold foreign currency that is safe inside Russia. Apparently, based on their foreign currency reserve hoarding, they’d been planning their move on Ukraine for almost two years.

No surprise there as Russia began to press against the Ukrainian border with troops almost a year ago.

So, when the west unshackled many of the Russian banks from the SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications) system with 11,000 member institutions and 42,000,000 messages a day in more than 200 countries, they were caught unable to access those reserves because the conduit — the SWIFT system — was blocked.

SWIFT also threw Iran out of the system in 2012 – 2016.

One of the things Russia did immediately on Invasion Ukraine Day, 2-24-2022, was to close down its Moscow Exchange, their biggest stock market and the place where Russians and foreigners owned Russian stocks.

In London where many of these stocks also trade, the Russian stocks were down as much as 98%, so the prospect of a gargantuan sell off was very real. Continue reading

03/23/22

Extraordinary Men

There are really no extraordinary men; there are ordinary men who rise to the challenge in extraordinary times and standout from the rest of mankind because they can function when the world is crippled by fear.

George Washington

George Washington was the Father of Our Country. Without him as our Commander-in-Chief and our President for two terms, the American Revolution would have been a footnote in English history wherein the King had crushed another rebellion and the British Empire had moved on.

Instead, he improbably beat the toughest and largest army on the planet and formed a country from scratch. Continue reading

02/13/22

Apropos Of Nothing — Idle Musings

There are some days when your mind wanders and you develop no large theme about which to write, but a number of small things accumulate in the recesses of one’s mind.

Here are a few that have solidified in the Big Red Car’s mind:

Putin is a pissant

Putin, a thug overseeing a middling economy on par with Italy’s, is a small man who has a thin, poorly worn veneer of civility holding back an Amazonish flow of despotic behavior. He is a bloody murderer.

Putin in his Siberian Pimp outfit with furry cuffs and hood.

Continue reading