08/12/25

India — War Funder And War Profiteer?

The Republic of India, capital at New Delhi, is an important country in Asia with 1,450,000,000 people (very smart and hard working people), the 7th largest country on the planet by land mass with a Federal parliamentary democratic republic. It has the 5th largest Gross Domestic Product and speaks 23 different languages with the predominant languages being Hindi and English.

 

India has a fairly potent military — a military that has 170 nuclear warheads and is the 2nd largest globally — with 2,600,000 men under arms in all branches including a modern army, a coastal brown water navy (though they have an aircraft, submarines, and a nuclear vessel) and a competent air force. They produce 65% of their own armaments and import — primarily from Russia — the balance.

The US should have a great relationship with India first because it is a gigantic democratic republic, but also because it is a bulwark strategically to China and would provide a real problem for China in a shooting war.

So what, Big Red Car?

Ahh, dear reader, the problem is that India is buying gobs of oil from Russia and its ghost fleet of decrepit tankers.

 1. Pre-Ukraine War and post-Pandemic, India imported less than 0.5% of its crude oil from Russia. They imported all of their oil from Mideaster countries including Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.

They had a $11.5B import trade level with Russia primarily fertilizer, chemicals, machinery, and weaponry.

 2. When Russia invaded innocent Ukraine, India took advantage of Russia’s lost European business and began importing as much as 40% of all Indian oil imports from Russia.

Oil revenues are the largest share of Russian government funding and effectively funded and funds their attack on Ukraine.

 3. The tempation to buy oil from Russia is gigantic as Russian Urals Crude sells at a meaningful discount to the market value with some discounts being as large as 30% off the quoted price.

It is difficult to buy Russian oil as it is transported in ghost ships — small, ancient, uninsured tankers, that travel without their transponders live, but the discount makes it worth the effort.

Isn’t Trump 2.0 threatening stiff tariffs for Russian crude buyers, Big Red Car?

Yes, he is. President Trump says the US will impose tariffs as high as 50% and the US Congress is working on a Russian sanctions bill that would make punitive tariffs as high as 500%.

I believe this is the main reason why War Criminal Putin asked to meet with President Trump in Alaska. It is my considered opinion the Orc economy is on the precipice of collapse and that a cessation of or material impact on oil revenue might just collapse the whole thing.

Bottom line it, Big Red Car, we’re going for a walk on the beach

Sure, dear reader.

India has lost its moral compass and is profiteering from cheap Russian oil and is directly funding the continuing unprovoked attack on Ukraine.

This is inconsistent with the national character of India.

But, hey, what the Hell do I really know anyway? I’m just a Big Red Car.

08/9/25

President Trump Declares War On Cartels, And Plans US Military Strikes

It may have slipped through the cracks, but President Trump has recently directed the Pentagon to make war plans to directly combat drug cartels with US military force. This is similar to the orders that preceded the raid on Iran.

This is not a singular action, but a logical progression from Trump 2.0 designating certain Mexican cartels as FTOs (foreign terrorist organizations) earlier this year thereby justifying direct military action under the same premise as the US attacking ISIS or the Houthis in the Middle East.

Trump 1.0 attempted to designate the same cartels as FTOs in 2019, but Mexico objected and Trump 1.0 backed off.

Currently, Mexico objects to the notion of direct American military attacks against the Mexican FTOs, but who knows what they say behind closed doors?

Isn’t this unprecedented, Big Red Car?

Actually, it is not. The US has been using military force against drug cartels for years since the late 1960s.

 1. In 1969, Operation Intercept, US military provided support at the Mexican border in the form of air support to identify and apprehend smugglers — the predecessors to the cartels. Operation Intercept was generally ineffective.

 2. In 1986, Operation Blast Furnace in Bolivia, US Army provided military advisers, helicopters, and weapons to destroy cocaine labs and air facilities such as remote runways. The operation was effective and destroyed a number of drug labs, but the drug criminals quickly rebuilt.

 3. In 1989, Operation Just Cause in Panama, the US invaded with the 82nd Airborne Division and overthrew the government of General Manuel Noriega and apprehended him and brought him to the United States where he was convicted on drug charges. 

Noriega was convicted in the US, served his sentence, was extradicted to France, was extradited to Panama, and died in prison in Panama at age 83 in 2017. 

 4. During the 1990s to the 2000s in Columbia, the US military undertook Plan Columbia that provided advisers, aircraft, intel cooperation, surveillance, and direct action against the Medellin and Cali cartels as well as FARC.

The campaign against FARC, a Marxist/Leninist terror organization, was successful and it morphed into a political party.

 5. During the time period 2008 until the present, the US initiated the Merida Initiative in Mexico against the Sinaloa, Zeta, and Gulf cartels resulting in the death of a number of cartel members. The US support included advisers, helicopters, training, and intel sharing. Theoretically, this effort continues today.

 6. In 2011 – 2012 in Guatamala and Honduras, the US military undertook DEA FAST Team operations wherein the US provided air support to attack jungle and maritime drug labs resulting in the eradication of labs and the death and capture of drug kingpins.

 7. Since 2014, the US has conducted naval interdiction with Navy and Coast Guard ships and intel sharing to identify and capture drug submarines — narco subs — in the Pacific and Caribbean. This interdiction of supply channels has generally been successful though some narco subs have gotten through.

 8. In 2019, Trump 1.0 proposed to declare Mexican drug cartels FTOs and to attack them directly, but the then Mexican government protested and nothing happened.

So, where are we going with this, Big Red Car?

It is the opinion of your Big Red Car that the US will strike cartels before the end of the year when the weather favors protracted air operations.

 

But, hey, what the Hell do I really know anyway? I’m just a Big Red Car. Boom!