Big Red Car here in the crisp, sunny, loveliness that is the ATX — on Earth as it is in Texas, y’all!
Right to it. Oil prices, twelve year low.
The Big Red Car has been beating the drum about oil prices for almost six months –“Going to $30/barrel and will touch $20/barrel on the way. Biggest tax cut in American history.”
If the Big Red Car had a neck, it would be stretched way out there, y’all.
Oil hit a twelve year low yesterday and is headed lower still.
Why, Big Red Car
The price of oil dipped to a twelve year low. Oil prices! That is significant and would be significant all by its lonesome but it is even more important because of the time of the year — in the midst of the heating season.
The economics of it are pretty easy.
1. Supply is up. Going to get even more robust as Iran adds a million barrels a day over the next year.
2. Demand is down. More efficient fleet, more efficient energy everything, less China demand. You pick ’em.
3. Inventories are full.
This is the simple shit your econ teacher told you about. It is not complicated. It is freakin’ supply v demand and you, dear reader, know that stuff.
It’s going to be hard on a Sheikh
What is not so obvious is that this will impact foreign policy. In big ways that will not be as apparent for a few months.
Russia is going broke because half of their economic vigor comes from energy. Half of the government’s funding comes from energy.
Mexico is going to struggle. Venezuela is going to have a difficult time. The Saudis will be rubbing their hands.
That little chap with the pert nipples, Vladimir the Impaler, is going to be running on empty soon. Does that make him cautious or desperate, bat shit crazy dangerous? Inquiring minds want to know.
The Middle East gets a little more dicey — how is THAT possible, Big Red Car?
Yes, the sheiks in Saudi Arabia and the Ayatollahs in Iran are also oil junkies. They slather up their bodies in crude and act…………………………..crude.
Watch this because their collision in Yemen backing and balling with the Houthis is going to go ugly on an ape. [Don’t you just love a bunch of shitheads who are named “Houthis”? It’s so damn………………….regional.]
It’s hard out there for a Sheikh. It’s hard out there for an Ayatollah. It’s hard out there for a pimp.
Bottom line it, Big Red Car
So there you have it, dear reader.
The oil tax cut is coming to a pump near you. Very soon.
It is $1.45/gallon at the cheapest place in the ATX. That’s a $0.13/gallon decrease in less than a week. Enjoy it y’all.
Don’t believe a Big Red Car, look for yourself.
If the President doesn’t find a way to screw it up, it’s less than a dollar by June and you can take that road trip to see Auntie Ethel in Idaho. Go now before she dies cause she might leave it all to you, cher.
Flight of fancy, the Keystone XL pippilini
Can you imagine if we had a President with stones and he had said, “Damn right we’re going to build that Keystone pippilini. Why not? A million barrels a day of crude for cheap? Jobs? Hell, we’ll be independent of the Middle East and we can stop swapping blood for oil. WTF? Why not?”
Of course, we don’t have a President with stones, do we?. Sorry. A Big Red Car can dream, no?
But, hey, what the Hell do I really know anyway? I’m just a Big Red Car. Be good to yourself and get some cheap gas. You deserve it.
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Agree with ya BRC!
We wrote up an article back in November about oil dropping to $20/barrel.
http://www.foundationinvesting.com/is-oil-black-gold-or-fools-gold-we-think-its-the-latter-heres-why/
It’s always funny hearing the pundits call for a bottom every step of the way down too….
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Since the middle of last year, the Big Red Car has been calling it. The Big Red Car doesn’t want oil to drop to $20/bbl and stay there but it certainly could. The BRC sees it at year end at $30 but it will drink from the trough at $20 for sure.
BRC
https://www.themusingsofthebigredcar.com
Yes. $20/Bbl is not good when it comes to geopolitical stability.
.
At $20/bbl, Russia and that guy with the pert little nipples is broke. Do something bat shit crazy broke. He is left with cutting off Eastern European natural gas as being the most effective stroke he can make.
BRC
https://www.themusingsofthebigredcar.com
Ah, ask BRC, so close to the experts of the oil patch, not so far some some WTI wells and some Houston refiners, let’s see.
(1) So, Google
barrel oil gallons
and get at
http://aoghs.org/news/history-of-the-42-gallon-oil-barrel/
and get 42 gallons per barrel that commonly refines to 20 gallons of gasoline, 12 gallons of Diesel, 4 gallons of jet fuel, some gasses, asphalt, etc.
IIRC the Diesel is much the same as home heating oil.
So, suppose at the well, oil goes for $0.01 a barrel. Then what are the prices of gasoline, Diesel, jet fuel, etc.? Or, after paying the WTI market price, how much is added for refining, transportation, and retailing — e.g., for gasoline, $1 a gallon?
.
It’s happening. Oil prices hit a 12 year low and gasoline is $1.45/gallon in the ATX.
The Big Red Car told you half a year ago it was coming and now it’s here.
https://themusingsofthebigredcar.com/wtf-what-the-frack-oil-prices-12-year-low/
Learn it, live it, love it.
BRC
https://www.themusingsofthebigredcar.com